NOVEMBER 6, 2020 : Where will your team be in the standings when the 2020 season (how ever it’s set up) comes to a close? Lets see what the number crunching geeks (I say that fondly. I’m one of them) responsible for PECOTA – Player Empirical Comparison and Optimization Test Algorithm have to say.
But before you get too excited, or depressed, we’ll look at how accurate PECOTA was in 2019.
November 6th – the American League. November 7th – the National League.
2020 PREDICTED FINAL STANDINGS
AL East
- Yankees
- Rays
- Red Sox
- Jays
- Orioles
In 2019 the Yankees were favored by PECOTA to win the Division, which they did. Then lost to the Astros in the ALCS.
The Rays were favored to finish 3rd, but finished 2nd. They beat A’s in the 2019 wild card game. Lost to Astros in the AL Division Series
AL Central
- Twins
- Indians
- White Sox
- Tigers
- Royals
In 2019 PECOTA had the Minnesota Twins finishing in 2nd, playing just .500 baseball. The Twins took the Division with 101 wins. They were beaten by the Yankees in the ALDS.
AL West
- Astros
- Angels
- Athletics
- Rangers
- Mariners
PECOTA favored the Astros to win the AL West in 2019, which they did. They made it to the World Series, losing to the Washington Nationals.
Now, it’s a whole new season. How will MLB shake out in 2020? That’s why they play the games.
CONTRIBUTING SOURCES:
https://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/AL/2019.shtml 2019 final standings
https://www.baseballprospectus.com/standings/ PECOTA Predictions for 2020
https://doublegsports.com/pecota-projected-mlb-standings-2019/ DoubleGSports